Victoria NPL
Match Analysis
Dandenong Thunder
Sunshine Georgies
Dandenong Thunder
L
L
D
L
L
W
Sunshine Georgies
D
D
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunshine Georgies | Dandenong Thunder | 2 - 1 | February 28, 2026 |
Dandenong Thunder Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 26 | Away | Heidelberg United | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Melbourne City II | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | St. Albans Saints | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Oakleigh Cannons | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Preston Lions | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 24, 26 | Away | Dandenong City | 0 - 1 | Win |
Sunshine Georgies Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Green Gully | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Bentleigh Greens | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 18, 26 | Away | South Melbourne | 0 - 4 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Hume City | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Avondale | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Altona Magic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Victoria NPL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sunshine Georgies | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.67% likelihood that both Dandenong Thunder and Sunshine Georgies will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Dandenong Thunder or Sunshine Georgies to win
This prediction indicates that Dandenong Thunder has a 42.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.43 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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