Danubio vs Club Nacional Saturday 11th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Danubio Club Nacional

Danubio D L L L L W

Club Nacional W L W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Club Nacional	Danubio	1 - 2	April 25, 2026
Danubio	Club Nacional	0 - 0	October 12, 2025
Club Nacional	Danubio	3 - 2	June 29, 2025
Club Nacional	Danubio	2 - 0	April 13, 2025
Danubio	Club Nacional	0 - 0	November 28, 2024
Danubio	Club Nacional	0 - 6	July 13, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Wanderers	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Progreso	1 - 2	Loss
May 18, 26	Away	Deportivo Maldonado	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Albion FC	0 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Liverpool Montevideo	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Club Nacional	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Juventud	2 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Deportivo Maldonado	3 - 0	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Coquimbo Unido	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Albion FC	1 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Home	Universitario	0 - 0	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Atletico Torque	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Club Nacional	19	10	1	8	31	26	+5	31
13	Danubio	18	4	7	7	19	26	-7	19

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.4% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Club Nacional has a 46.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.03 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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