Danubio vs Wanderers Sunday 20th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Primera División - Apertura

Danubio

Sept. 20, 2026 3 days, 13 hours from now VS

Wanderers

Match Analysis

Danubio Wanderers

Danubio D L L D D L

Wanderers D L W L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Wanderers	Danubio	0 - 0	June 5, 2026
Wanderers	Danubio	2 - 1	March 21, 2026
Wanderers	Danubio	0 - 2	September 6, 2025
Danubio	Wanderers	2 - 2	March 16, 2025
Wanderers	Danubio	2 - 2	September 28, 2024
Danubio	Wanderers	0 - 2	March 24, 2024

Danubio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 26	Away	Juventud	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Penarol	0 - 4	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Progreso	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	Racing Montevideo	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 14, 26	Away	Boston River	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Home	Cerro	0 - 1	Loss

Wanderers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Home	Club Nacional	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Deportivo Maldonado	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Home	Central Espanol	3 - 0	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Atletico Torque	5 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Cerro Largo	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Away	Defensor Sporting	0 - 1	Win

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Wanderers	29	12	7	10	36	39	-3	43
15	Danubio	28	4	13	11	23	37	-14	25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Danubio to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Danubio has a 37.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.48 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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