Eerste Divisie logo

Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap logo De Graafschap
Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
NAC Breda logo NAC Breda

Match Analysis

De Graafschap NAC Breda
De Graafschap L L L L D L
NAC Breda L D W L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
NAC Breda De Graafschap 0 - 0 February 2, 2024
De Graafschap NAC Breda 1 - 0 November 3, 2023
NAC Breda De Graafschap 2 - 0 February 10, 2023
De Graafschap NAC Breda 1 - 1 September 9, 2022
NAC Breda De Graafschap 2 - 0 March 11, 2022
De Graafschap NAC Breda 2 - 0 August 20, 2021

De Graafschap Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 4, 26 Away Heracles 5 - 0 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Almere City FC 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Away VVV Venlo 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Home Jong AZ 2 - 5 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Excelsior 1 - 5 Loss

NAC Breda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 4, 26 Away Waalwijk 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 28, 26 Away Roda 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Jong Ajax 3 - 2 Win
Aug 14, 26 Home VVV Venlo 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away FC OSS 1 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Bolton 1 - 0 Loss

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 NAC Breda 5 2 1 2 9 11 -2 7
19 De Graafschap 5 0 1 4 5 17 -12 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.85% likelihood that both De Graafschap and NAC Breda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
De Graafschap or NAC Breda to win
This prediction indicates that NAC Breda has a 38.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.13 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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