Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Saturday 25th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Defensor Sporting Cerro

Defensor Sporting L D D L L L

Cerro L L W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cerro	Defensor Sporting	1 - 0	April 5, 2026
Cerro	Defensor Sporting	1 - 0	October 11, 2025
Defensor Sporting	Cerro	2 - 1	June 22, 2025
Defensor Sporting	Cerro	3 - 2	April 14, 2025
Cerro	Defensor Sporting	1 - 1	September 7, 2024
Defensor Sporting	Cerro	5 - 0	February 25, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Boston River	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Racing Montevideo	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Penarol	0 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Central Espanol	2 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Juventud	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Penarol	0 - 1	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Cerro Largo	2 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Central Espanol	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Boston River	4 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Club Nacional	4 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Deportivo Maldonado	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Defensor Sporting	19	5	8	6	15	16	-1	23
16	Cerro	19	3	4	12	10	31	-21	13

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Defensor Sporting has a 53.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.98 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply