Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Monday 14th September 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Primera División - Apertura

Defensor Sporting

Sept. 14, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Deportivo Maldonado

Match Analysis

Defensor Sporting Deportivo Maldonado

Defensor Sporting L D L L W L

Deportivo Maldonado L D W D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo Maldonado	Defensor Sporting	1 - 0	March 15, 2026
Defensor Sporting	Deportivo Maldonado	3 - 1	September 29, 2024
Deportivo Maldonado	Defensor Sporting	0 - 2	June 8, 2024
Deportivo Maldonado	Defensor Sporting	1 - 0	March 24, 2024
Deportivo Maldonado	Defensor Sporting	2 - 1	November 25, 2023
Defensor Sporting	Deportivo Maldonado	1 - 1	April 22, 2023

Defensor Sporting Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Cerro Largo	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 16, 26	Home	Liverpool Montevideo	0 - 4	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Home	Wanderers	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Home	Cerro	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Liverpool Montevideo	1 - 2	Loss

Deportivo Maldonado Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Away	Juventud	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Penarol	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 16, 26	Away	Progreso	0 - 2	Win
Aug 10, 26	Home	Racing Montevideo	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Juventud	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Progreso	1 - 0	Loss

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Deportivo Maldonado	26	13	7	6	40	26	+14	46
13	Defensor Sporting	26	6	10	10	21	29	-8	28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Deportivo Maldonado to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Deportivo Maldonado has a 37.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.08 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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