Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo Tuesday 21st July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Defensor Sporting Liverpool Montevideo

Defensor Sporting L D D L L L

Liverpool Montevideo D W D L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Liverpool Montevideo	Defensor Sporting	1 - 2	February 14, 2026
Liverpool Montevideo	Defensor Sporting	2 - 0	August 30, 2025
Defensor Sporting	Liverpool Montevideo	4 - 2	June 14, 2025
Defensor Sporting	Liverpool Montevideo	0 - 1	March 7, 2025
Defensor Sporting	Liverpool Montevideo	2 - 1	October 21, 2024
Liverpool Montevideo	Defensor Sporting	1 - 1	April 19, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Boston River	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Racing Montevideo	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Penarol	0 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Central Espanol	2 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Juventud	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 8, 26	Home	Cerro Largo	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Away	Boston River	0 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Racing Montevideo	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Penarol	2 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Wanderers	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Danubio	3 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Liverpool Montevideo	19	6	7	6	22	20	+2	25
11	Defensor Sporting	19	5	8	6	15	16	-1	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Defensor Sporting has a 40.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.32 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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