Defensor Sporting vs Wanderers Sunday 09th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Primera División - Apertura

Aug. 9, 2026 3 days, 16 hours from now VS

Defensor Sporting Wanderers

Defensor Sporting W L D L D D

Wanderers W W W D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Wanderers	Defensor Sporting	1 - 1	February 7, 2026
Defensor Sporting	Wanderers	2 - 1	October 6, 2025
Wanderers	Defensor Sporting	0 - 0	June 17, 2025
Wanderers	Defensor Sporting	0 - 0	April 7, 2025
Wanderers	Defensor Sporting	1 - 1	November 4, 2024
Defensor Sporting	Wanderers	1 - 1	July 7, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 3, 26	Home	Cerro	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Liverpool Montevideo	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 13, 26	Away	Cerro Largo	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Boston River	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Racing Montevideo	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	Atletico Torque	0 - 2	Win
Jul 17, 26	Away	Club Nacional	1 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Progreso	2 - 0	Win
Jun 5, 26	Home	Danubio	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Juventud	2 - 5	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Deportivo Maldonado	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Wanderers	22	10	5	7	28	25	+3	35
11	Defensor Sporting	21	5	9	7	17	19	-2	24

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Defensor Sporting has a 45.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.85 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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