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Primera Nacional

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Defensores De Belgrano San Telmo
Defensores De Belgrano L D L D L L
San Telmo L D D D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Defensores De Belgrano San Telmo 1 - 2 July 31, 2025
San Telmo Defensores De Belgrano 0 - 3 February 23, 2025
San Telmo Defensores De Belgrano 1 - 2 August 18, 2024
Defensores De Belgrano San Telmo 0 - 1 April 1, 2024
Defensores De Belgrano San Telmo 2 - 0 June 18, 2023
San Telmo Defensores De Belgrano 2 - 2 February 11, 2023

Defensores De Belgrano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Away Acassuso 1 - 0 Loss
May 18, 26 Home Chaco For Ever 0 - 0 Draw
May 11, 26 Away Ferro Carril Oeste 2 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Central Norte 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Deportivo Madryn 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away Racing Cordoba 3 - 0 Loss

San Telmo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Ciudad de Bolívar 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Almirante Brown 0 - 0 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Atletico Mitre 0 - 0 Draw
May 2, 26 Away CA Estudiantes 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home All Boys 1 - 0 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away Los Andes 0 - 0 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
23 Defensores De Belgrano 14 3 7 4 11 12 -1 16
29 San Telmo 14 3 6 5 12 15 -3 15

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.25% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Defensores De Belgrano to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Defensores De Belgrano has a 38.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.34 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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