Defensores Unidos vs Excursionistas Tuesday 14th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Defensores Unidos Excursionistas

Defensores Unidos L L D L W W

Excursionistas W D W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Excursionistas	Defensores Unidos	1 - 0	March 4, 2026
Excursionistas	Defensores Unidos	1 - 2	April 1, 2018
Defensores Unidos	Excursionistas	1 - 0	November 4, 2017
Excursionistas	Defensores Unidos	1 - 0	July 13, 2015
Defensores Unidos	Excursionistas	1 - 2	February 28, 2015
Excursionistas	Defensores Unidos	2 - 1	March 15, 2014

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Talleres Remedios	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Deportivo Laferrere	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Brown DE Adrogue	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	Deportivo Armenio	3 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Flandria	1 - 0	Win
May 27, 26	Home	Villa Dalmine	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Deportivo Merlo	5 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Deportivo Camioneros	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Sportivo Italiano	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	San Martín Burzaco	2 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Villa San Carlos	0 - 2	Win
May 27, 26	Away	Argentino Quilmes	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	22	13	6	3	33	12	+21	45
17	Defensores Unidos	22	5	8	9	18	23	-5	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 48.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.68 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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