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Copa Colombia

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 8
Full Time

Match Analysis

Depor FC Millonarios
Depor FC L D L W L W
Millonarios L D D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Depor FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 16, 26 Away Chico 4 - 0 Loss
May 11, 26 Home Patriotas 1 - 1 Draw
May 7, 26 Away Llaneros 3 - 0 Loss
Sep 3, 25 Home Junior 2 - 0 Win
Aug 26, 25 Away Junior 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 15, 25 Home Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Win

Millonarios Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 26, 26 Home O'Higgins 1 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Chico 2 - 2 Draw
May 20, 26 Away Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Patriotas 2 - 3 Win
May 12, 26 Home Llaneros 1 - 0 Win
May 7, 26 Away Boston River 2 - 4 Win

Copa Colombia Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Millonarios 3 2 1 0 6 4 +2 7
18 Depor FC 3 0 1 2 1 8 -7 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.3% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Millonarios to win
This prediction indicates that Millonarios has a 44.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.66 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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