Primera División
Match Analysis
Deportes Limache
Nublense
Deportes Limache
L
W
L
L
L
L
Nublense
W
D
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees a modest quality edge for Nublense, but also notes that Deportes Limache have had poor recent form, while Nublense have been moderately consistent. Despite recent meetings between these teams tending to be tight and low-scoring, the model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals, aligning with the market's view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | Deportes Limache | 1 - 1 | February 8, 2026 |
| Deportes Limache | Nublense | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2025 |
| Nublense | Deportes Limache | 1 - 1 | February 22, 2025 |
Deportes Limache Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Universidad de Chile | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | O'Higgins | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Colo Colo | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Concepción | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Coquimbo Unido | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | D. La Serena | 4 - 1 | Loss |
Nublense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Union La Calera | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Away | A. Italiano | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Palestino | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Huachipato | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Cobresal | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Universidad de Concepcion | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nublense | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 29 |
| 8 | Deportes Limache | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 30 | +5 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.48% likelihood that both Deportes Limache and Nublense will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Deportes Limache or Nublense to win
This prediction indicates that Deportes Limache has a 40.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.13 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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