Primera B
Match Analysis
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
D
W
D
D
L
L
San Marcos de Arica
W
L
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Marcos de Arica | Deportes Santa Cruz | 1 - 1 | February 20, 2026 |
| Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica | 1 - 0 | October 25, 2025 |
| San Marcos de Arica | Deportes Santa Cruz | 2 - 1 | June 15, 2025 |
| Deportes Santa Cruz | San Marcos de Arica | 1 - 0 | August 10, 2024 |
| San Marcos de Arica | Deportes Santa Cruz | 3 - 4 | March 31, 2024 |
| San Marcos de Arica | Deportes Santa Cruz | 3 - 2 | October 3, 2023 |
Deportes Santa Cruz Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 26 | Home | Recoleta | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Deportes Iquique | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Union Espanola | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Union San Felipe | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Magallanes | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | San Luis | 0 - 2 | Loss |
San Marcos de Arica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Curico Unido | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Recoleta | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Deportes Copiapo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Cobreloa | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Rangers de Talca | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Union Espanola | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Primera B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | +8 | 36 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.San Marcos de Arica to win
This prediction indicates that San Marcos de Arica has a 40.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.43 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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