Primera A
Match Analysis
Deportes Tolima
Cucuta
Deportes Tolima
W
L
W
L
W
W
Cucuta
L
D
L
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | Deportes Tolima | 3 - 2 | February 23, 2026 |
| Cucuta | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 3 | November 19, 2020 |
| Cucuta | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 3 | October 11, 2020 |
| Deportes Tolima | Cucuta | 0 - 1 | November 20, 2019 |
| Cucuta | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 0 | November 18, 2019 |
| Deportes Tolima | Cucuta | 2 - 1 | October 19, 2019 |
Deportes Tolima Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | La Equidad | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Quindio | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Junior | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Quindio | 2 - 1 | Win |
Cucuta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Bucaramanga | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | Once Caldas | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 2, 26 | Away | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 29, 26 | Home | Fortaleza FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Leones FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 27 | +12 | 46 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportes Tolima to win
This prediction indicates that Deportes Tolima has a 71.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.09 %Most Likely Scorelines
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