Deportes Tolima vs Quindio Wednesday 22nd July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Deportes Tolima Quindio

Deportes Tolima D L L L W W

Quindio D L W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportes Tolima	Quindio	3 - 1	November 21, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Away	Universitario	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Atletico Nacional	3 - 1	Loss
May 19, 26	Away	Coquimbo Unido	3 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Atletico Nacional	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Deportivo Pasto	0 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Deportivo Pasto	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 25	Home	Atletico Nacional	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 28, 25	Away	Atletico Nacional	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 10, 25	Away	Deportivo Cali	0 - 2	Win
Jun 7, 25	Home	Bucaramanga	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 3, 25	Away	Popayan	2 - 0	Loss
May 29, 25	Home	Chico	2 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Deportes Tolima has a 62.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.49 %

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