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Deportivo Cuenca is seen as the stronger side in this match, with a notable quality gap in their favor. However, both teams have been in poor recent form, and past encounters between them have usually been low-scoring. The model predicts a home win with a 57% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. The model also leans toward fewer goals, expecting the match to finish under 1.5 and under 2.5 goals, aligning with the recent trend of hard-fought, low-scoring games between these sides.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC | Deportivo Cuenca | 0 - 1 | April 19, 2026 |
| Manta FC | Deportivo Cuenca | 0 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | Manta FC | 2 - 0 | May 3, 2025 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | Manta FC | 1 - 0 | August 7, 2021 |
| Manta FC | Deportivo Cuenca | 1 - 0 | March 7, 2021 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | Manta FC | 3 - 0 | July 5, 2014 |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Independiente del Valle | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Emelec | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Macara | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Universidad Catolica | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Leones del Norte | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Aucas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Mushuc Runa SC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Tecnico Universitario | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | LDU de Quito | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Guayaquil City FC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Delfin SC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Orense SC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportivo Cuenca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 14 |
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