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Primera Nacional

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Deportivo Madryn San Miguel
Deportivo Madryn D D W L W D
San Miguel D D W L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Miguel Deportivo Madryn 1 - 1 July 5, 2025
Deportivo Madryn San Miguel 2 - 1 March 2, 2025
Deportivo Madryn San Miguel 0 - 0 November 3, 2024

Deportivo Madryn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Away San Telmo 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Acassuso 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Chaco For Ever 1 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Central Norte 2 - 3 Win
May 3, 26 Away Racing Cordoba 2 - 2 Draw

San Miguel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Defensores De Belgrano 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Ciudad de Bolívar 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Almirante Brown 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Atletico Mitre 4 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home CA Estudiantes 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 30, 26 Away All Boys 1 - 1 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Deportivo Madryn 16 6 6 4 20 15 +5 24
24 San Miguel 16 4 8 4 12 17 -5 20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Deportivo Madryn to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Madryn has a 51.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.71 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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