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Primera Nacional

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
3 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Deportivo Maipu Chacarita Juniors
Deportivo Maipu L W W D W D
Chacarita Juniors W L W D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Maipu Chacarita Juniors 0 - 2 June 23, 2024
Chacarita Juniors Deportivo Maipu 2 - 0 February 3, 2024
Chacarita Juniors Deportivo Maipu 2 - 1 July 2, 2023
Deportivo Maipu Chacarita Juniors 0 - 2 February 26, 2023
Deportivo Maipu Chacarita Juniors 1 - 1 April 17, 2022
Chacarita Juniors Deportivo Maipu 1 - 2 October 2, 2021

Deportivo Maipu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away San Martin S.J. 2 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Nueva Chicago 1 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Temperley 0 - 5 Win
May 3, 26 Away Gimnasia Jujuy 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Almagro 1 - 0 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away Patronato 0 - 0 Draw

Chacarita Juniors Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Almagro 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Patronato 2 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Colegiales 2 - 0 Win
May 4, 26 Away Quilmes 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Midland 1 - 0 Win
Apr 21, 26 Away Atlanta 1 - 0 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
18 Deportivo Maipu 14 5 3 6 19 16 +3 18
20 Chacarita Juniors 14 5 3 6 12 14 -2 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.62% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Deportivo Maipu to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Maipu has a 35.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.45 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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