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Primera Nacional

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Deportivo Maipu Tristan Suarez
Deportivo Maipu L W L W W D
Tristan Suarez D D D W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Maipu Tristan Suarez 1 - 0 August 9, 2025
Tristan Suarez Deportivo Maipu 1 - 1 April 5, 2025
Tristan Suarez Deportivo Maipu 1 - 2 August 10, 2024
Deportivo Maipu Tristan Suarez 1 - 0 March 23, 2024
Deportivo Maipu Tristan Suarez 3 - 2 July 9, 2023
Tristan Suarez Deportivo Maipu 0 - 4 March 4, 2023

Deportivo Maipu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Away Club Atlético Güemes 1 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Chacarita Juniors 3 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away San Martin S.J. 2 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Nueva Chicago 1 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Temperley 0 - 5 Win
May 3, 26 Away Gimnasia Jujuy 1 - 1 Draw

Tristan Suarez Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Almagro 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Patronato 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Colegiales 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Quilmes 0 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Midland 1 - 3 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Atlanta 3 - 1 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Tristan Suarez 16 6 8 2 15 10 +5 26
17 Deportivo Maipu 16 6 3 7 22 19 +3 21

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Deportivo Maipu to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Maipu has a 35.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.37 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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