Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
D
W
W
W
L
D
Club Nacional
W
W
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maldonado | Club Nacional | 4 - 2 | April 11, 2026 |
| Club Nacional | Deportivo Maldonado | 5 - 2 | November 16, 2024 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Club Nacional | 0 - 2 | May 20, 2024 |
| Club Nacional | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 - 3 | October 23, 2023 |
| Club Nacional | Deportivo Maldonado | 4 - 0 | June 17, 2023 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Club Nacional | 0 - 0 | March 18, 2023 |
Deportivo Maldonado Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | Wanderers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 18, 26 | Home | Danubio | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 11, 26 | Home | Boston River | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Cerro | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Albion FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Danubio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Club Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 26 | Home | Coquimbo Unido | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Albion FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Universitario | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Atletico Torque | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Cerro | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 7, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 28 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Deportivo Maldonado or Club Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Club Nacional has a 39.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.78 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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