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Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura

Match Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado D W W D W W
Juventud L D L L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Maldonado Juventud 2 - 1 March 2, 2026
Deportivo Maldonado Juventud 0 - 1 July 28, 2018
Juventud Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 0 March 3, 2018
Juventud Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 0 February 25, 2012
Deportivo Maldonado Juventud 1 - 3 October 1, 2011

Deportivo Maldonado Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Home Albion FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away Atletico Torque 2 - 4 Win
May 31, 26 Home Club Nacional 3 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Wanderers 1 - 1 Draw
May 18, 26 Home Danubio 3 - 1 Win
May 11, 26 Home Boston River 2 - 1 Win

Juventud Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 11, 26 Home Atletico Torque 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Away Danubio 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away Club Nacional 2 - 1 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Wanderers 2 - 5 Loss
May 27, 26 Away Cienciano 1 - 1 Draw
May 21, 26 Away Puerto Cabello 1 - 1 Draw

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 20 12 4 4 36 21 +15 40
14 Juventud 19 5 4 10 23 30 -7 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Deportivo Maldonado to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Maldonado has a 54.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.66 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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