Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
L
D
W
W
D
W
Juventud
W
L
D
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Deportivo Maldonado are favored to win despite Juventud's historical dominance in head-to-head meetings, primarily because they hold a clear quality advantage and have shown strong recent attacking form while Juventud are struggling. The prediction leans toward a home victory (53%) and a low-scoring outcome, as the quality gap combined with Juventud's poor form suggests a match unlikely to produce many goals; notably, both a clean sheet and a narrow scoreline align with Maldonado's superior status while Juventud lack the form to capitalize on their attacking opportunities.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maldonado | Juventud | 2 - 1 | March 2, 2026 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Juventud | 0 - 1 | July 28, 2018 |
| Juventud | Deportivo Maldonado | 2 - 0 | March 3, 2018 |
| Juventud | Deportivo Maldonado | 0 - 0 | February 25, 2012 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Juventud | 1 - 3 | October 1, 2011 |
Deportivo Maldonado Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Progreso | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Albion FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Atletico Torque | 2 - 4 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Club Nacional | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Wanderers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 18, 26 | Home | Danubio | 3 - 1 | Win |
Juventud Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Albion FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Atletico Torque | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Danubio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Club Nacional | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Wanderers | 2 - 5 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Cienciano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 22 | +14 | 40 |
| 12 | Juventud | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportivo Maldonado to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Maldonado has a 52.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.38 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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