Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Montevideo Tuesday 11th August 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

Primera División - Apertura

Aug. 11, 2026 4 days, 20 hours from now VS

Deportivo Maldonado Racing Montevideo

Deportivo Maldonado D L D W W D

Racing Montevideo W L D D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Racing Montevideo	Deportivo Maldonado	2 - 4	February 8, 2026
Deportivo Maldonado	Racing Montevideo	0 - 1	November 12, 2024
Deportivo Maldonado	Racing Montevideo	1 - 1	July 12, 2024
Racing Montevideo	Deportivo Maldonado	0 - 1	May 11, 2024
Racing Montevideo	Deportivo Maldonado	1 - 1	August 27, 2023
Racing Montevideo	Deportivo Maldonado	2 - 0	July 22, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Juventud	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Progreso	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Albion FC	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	Atletico Torque	2 - 4	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Club Nacional	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Wanderers	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Home	Boston River	1 - 0	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Cerro	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Home	Penarol	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	Central Espanol	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Defensor Sporting	0 - 0	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Liverpool Montevideo	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Deportivo Maldonado	22	12	5	5	36	22	+14	41
3	Racing Montevideo	22	11	8	3	27	17	+10	41

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Deportivo Maldonado has a 40.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.98 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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