Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
D
W
D
D
L
D
Wanderers
L
D
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wanderers | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 - 1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Wanderers | Deportivo Maldonado | 0 - 0 | March 6, 2026 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Wanderers | 1 - 3 | September 20, 2024 |
| Wanderers | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 - 0 | July 27, 2024 |
| Wanderers | Deportivo Maldonado | 0 - 0 | March 11, 2024 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Wanderers | 3 - 0 | November 15, 2023 |
Deportivo Maldonado Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Penarol | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Progreso | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Racing Montevideo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Juventud | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Progreso | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Albion FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Wanderers Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Atletico Torque | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Cerro Largo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Defensor Sporting | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Penarol | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Atletico Torque | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Club Nacional | 1 - 2 | Win |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 24 | +16 | 46 |
| 4 | Wanderers | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 39 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportivo Maldonado to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Maldonado has a 53.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.86 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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