Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Deportivo Merlo
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
L
D
L
L
D
D
Brown DE Adrogue
L
D
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brown DE Adrogue | Deportivo Merlo | 0 - 1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Brown DE Adrogue | Deportivo Merlo | 1 - 0 | August 23, 2025 |
| Deportivo Merlo | Brown DE Adrogue | 0 - 1 | April 5, 2025 |
| Brown DE Adrogue | Deportivo Merlo | 3 - 0 | August 29, 2015 |
| Deportivo Merlo | Brown DE Adrogue | 1 - 3 | April 10, 2015 |
| Brown DE Adrogue | Deportivo Merlo | 3 - 1 | October 1, 2014 |
Deportivo Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Argentino Quilmes | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Defensores Unidos | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Comunicaciones | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Dock Sud | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Ituzaingó | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Deportivo Camioneros | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Brown DE Adrogue Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | San Martín Burzaco | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Villa San Carlos | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Liniers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Real Pilar | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | UAI Urquiza | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Villa Dalmine | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Deportivo Merlo | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 40 |
| 20 | Brown DE Adrogue | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 34 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportivo Merlo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Merlo has a 39.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.86 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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