Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano Saturday 08th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Deportivo Merlo Sportivo Italiano

Deportivo Merlo D W D L L L

Sportivo Italiano W W W D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sportivo Italiano	Deportivo Merlo	2 - 1	March 29, 2026
Sportivo Italiano	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 0	September 20, 2025
Deportivo Merlo	Sportivo Italiano	1 - 2	May 3, 2025
Deportivo Merlo	Sportivo Italiano	1 - 1	July 20, 2024
Sportivo Italiano	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 0	March 2, 2024
Deportivo Merlo	Sportivo Italiano	1 - 1	February 4, 2020

Deportivo Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Liniers	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Home	Real Pilar	3 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Villa Dalmine	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Excursionistas	5 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Arsenal Sarandi	4 - 2	Loss

Sportivo Italiano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	San Martín Burzaco	1 - 2	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Villa San Carlos	1 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Liniers	0 - 1	Win
Jul 5, 26	Home	Real Pilar	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Away	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Villa Dalmine	2 - 1	Loss

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Sportivo Italiano	25	11	8	6	25	20	+5	41
12	Deportivo Merlo	25	9	8	8	30	37	-7	35

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Score 0 - 0

This prediction indicates that Deportivo Merlo will score 0 goals, and Sportivo Italiano will score 0 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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