Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Deportivo Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
D
L
D
W
D
L
Sportivo Italiano
D
D
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Italiano | Deportivo Merlo | 2 - 1 | March 29, 2026 |
| Sportivo Italiano | Deportivo Merlo | 1 - 0 | September 20, 2025 |
| Deportivo Merlo | Sportivo Italiano | 1 - 2 | May 3, 2025 |
| Deportivo Merlo | Sportivo Italiano | 1 - 1 | July 20, 2024 |
| Sportivo Italiano | Deportivo Merlo | 1 - 0 | March 2, 2024 |
| Deportivo Merlo | Sportivo Italiano | 1 - 1 | February 4, 2020 |
Deportivo Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | San Martín Burzaco | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Villa San Carlos | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Liniers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Real Pilar | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | UAI Urquiza | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Villa Dalmine | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Sportivo Italiano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Deportivo Camioneros | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Ituzaingó | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | San Martín Burzaco | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Villa San Carlos | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Liniers | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Real Pilar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 46 |
| 11 | Deportivo Merlo | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 37 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Sportivo Italiano to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sportivo Italiano has a 37.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.39 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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