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Primera Nacional

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Deportivo Moron Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron W W L D D W
Almirante Brown D L D D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Moron Almirante Brown 2 - 0 June 14, 2025
Almirante Brown Deportivo Moron 1 - 1 February 9, 2025
Deportivo Moron Almirante Brown 0 - 1 August 25, 2024
Almirante Brown Deportivo Moron 1 - 1 April 6, 2024
Almirante Brown Deportivo Moron 0 - 1 August 27, 2023
Deportivo Moron Almirante Brown 2 - 2 April 15, 2023

Deportivo Moron Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Atletico Mitre 1 - 3 Win
May 24, 26 Home CA Estudiantes 2 - 0 Win
May 18, 26 Away All Boys 1 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Los Andes 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Godoy Cruz 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Racing Cordoba 2 - 1 Win

Almirante Brown Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Colon Santa Fe 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away San Miguel 1 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home San Telmo 0 - 0 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Acassuso 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Chaco For Ever 1 - 0 Win
Apr 28, 26 Away Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 1 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Deportivo Moron 15 8 4 3 23 13 +10 28
17 Almirante Brown 15 5 5 5 9 10 -1 20

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Deportivo Moron to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron has a 46.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.92 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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