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Primera Nacional

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Deportivo Moron Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Moron L W W W W L
Deportivo Madryn W D D D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Moron 1 - 1 February 21, 2026
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Moron 1 - 0 November 16, 2025
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Madryn 1 - 0 November 9, 2025
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Moron 0 - 0 August 3, 2024
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Madryn 0 - 0 March 17, 2024
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Moron 0 - 1 August 10, 2022

Deportivo Moron Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Away Ferro Carril Oeste 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Ciudad de Bolívar 1 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Almirante Brown 1 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Atletico Mitre 1 - 3 Win
May 24, 26 Home CA Estudiantes 2 - 0 Win
May 18, 26 Away All Boys 1 - 0 Loss

Deportivo Madryn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home Los Andes 2 - 1 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home San Miguel 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Away San Telmo 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Acassuso 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Chaco For Ever 1 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 1 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Deportivo Moron 18 10 4 4 26 15 +11 34
8 Deportivo Madryn 18 7 7 4 24 18 +6 28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron will score 0 goals, and Deportivo Madryn will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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