Deportivo Moron vs Ferro Carril Oeste Saturday 25th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Deportivo Moron Ferro Carril Oeste

Deportivo Moron L L W W W W

Ferro Carril Oeste W W W W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ferro Carril Oeste	Deportivo Moron	1 - 0	June 21, 2026
Ferro Carril Oeste	Deportivo Moron	1 - 2	September 12, 2022
Deportivo Moron	Ferro Carril Oeste	1 - 0	August 1, 2021
Ferro Carril Oeste	Deportivo Moron	2 - 0	March 20, 2021
Deportivo Moron	Ferro Carril Oeste	2 - 3	December 12, 2020
Ferro Carril Oeste	Deportivo Moron	1 - 0	November 24, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Defensores De Belgrano	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Ferro Carril Oeste	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Ciudad de Bolívar	1 - 2	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Almirante Brown	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Atletico Mitre	1 - 3	Win
May 24, 26	Home	CA Estudiantes	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	San Telmo	2 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Deportivo Moron	1 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Acassuso	2 - 1	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	Chaco For Ever	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Racing Cordoba	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Central Norte	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Deportivo Moron	19	10	4	5	27	17	+10	34
3	Ferro Carril Oeste	18	10	4	4	20	13	+7	34

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.43% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron has a 39.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.29 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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