Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
D
L
L
W
W
W
Ferro Carril Oeste
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron | 1 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron | 1 - 2 | September 12, 2022 |
| Deportivo Moron | Ferro Carril Oeste | 1 - 0 | August 1, 2021 |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron | 2 - 0 | March 20, 2021 |
| Deportivo Moron | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2 - 3 | December 12, 2020 |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Moron | 1 - 0 | November 24, 2019 |
Deportivo Moron Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Deportivo Madryn | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Defensores De Belgrano | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Ferro Carril Oeste | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Ciudad de Bolívar | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Almirante Brown | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Atletico Mitre | 1 - 3 | Win |
Ferro Carril Oeste Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Colon Santa Fe | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | San Miguel | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | San Telmo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Deportivo Moron | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Acassuso | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Chaco For Ever | 1 - 2 | Win |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 43 |
| 6 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | +10 | 35 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Deportivo Moron to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron has a 36.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.41 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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