Deportivo Pasto vs Bogota FC Wednesday 22nd July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Deportivo Pasto Bogota FC

Deportivo Pasto L L L L W W

Bogota FC L L W D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo Pasto	Bogota FC	2 - 0	January 9, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 13, 26	Home	Deportes Tolima	0 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Deportes Tolima	1 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Junior	4 - 3	Loss
Apr 23, 26	Home	Santa Fe	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Away	Jaguares	2 - 3	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Deportes Tolima	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 9, 26	Away	Deportivo Pasto	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 25	Home	Deportivo Pereira	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 8, 25	Away	La Equidad	1 - 2	Win
Jun 3, 25	Home	Leones FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 25	Away	Fortaleza FC	2 - 0	Loss
Mar 22, 24	Away	Once Caldas	4 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Deportivo Pasto has a 54.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.11 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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