Copa Colombia
Match Analysis
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pasto
W
L
L
L
L
L
Independiente Medellin
L
W
D
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | Deportivo Pasto | 3 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| Deportivo Pasto | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | January 18, 2026 |
| Deportivo Pasto | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 2 | August 19, 2025 |
| Independiente Medellin | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 0 | March 4, 2025 |
| Deportivo Pasto | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | September 9, 2024 |
| Independiente Medellin | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 0 | March 1, 2024 |
Deportivo Pasto Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Bogota FC | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Independiente Medellin | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Bogota FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Junior | 4 - 3 | Loss |
Independiente Medellin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pasto | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 2, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Leones FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Estudiantes L.P. | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Independiente Medellin to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente Medellin has a 40.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.10 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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