Primera División
Match Analysis
Deportivo Saprissa
San Carlos
Deportivo Saprissa
W
L
W
W
D
W
San Carlos
L
D
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Deportivo Saprissa have been in strong recent form, while San Carlos have struggled, making Deportivo Saprissa the clear favorite for this match. Deportivo Saprissa also hold a significant quality gap and have dominated recent meetings between the two sides. The model predicts a home win with a 71% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of over 2.5 goals, aligning with Deportivo Saprissa's recent attacking strength and San Carlos' defensive issues.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Carlos | Deportivo Saprissa | 1 - 3 | March 23, 2026 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | San Carlos | 2 - 1 | February 8, 2026 |
| San Carlos | Deportivo Saprissa | 0 - 2 | October 16, 2025 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | San Carlos | 2 - 0 | August 2, 2025 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | San Carlos | 3 - 0 | March 9, 2025 |
| San Carlos | Deportivo Saprissa | 0 - 1 | January 12, 2025 |
Deportivo Saprissa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Perez Zeledon | 5 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | CS Herediano | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 14, 26 | Home | CS Herediano | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Municipal Liberia | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Municipal Liberia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Puntarenas FC | 1 - 3 | Win |
San Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Escorpiones Belén | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Perez Zeledon | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 22, 26 | Away | CS Cartagines | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | CS Herediano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 13, 26 | Home | Guadalupe FC | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 7, 26 | Away | Municipal Liberia | 5 - 1 | Loss |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 7 | San Carlos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Deportivo Saprissa to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Saprissa has a 71.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.29 %Most Likely Scorelines
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