Championship
Match Analysis
Derby
West Brom
Derby
D
L
L
D
L
W
West Brom
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | West Brom | 1 - 1 | January 23, 2026 |
| West Brom | Derby | 0 - 1 | September 13, 2025 |
| West Brom | Derby | 1 - 1 | August 12, 2025 |
| West Brom | Derby | 1 - 3 | April 21, 2025 |
| Derby | West Brom | 2 - 1 | December 26, 2024 |
| Derby | West Brom | 1 - 0 | August 23, 2022 |
Derby Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Cardiff | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Charlton | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Lincoln | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Rotherham | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Burton Albion | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Mansfield Town | 1 - 3 | Win |
West Brom Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Burnley | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Norwich | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Rotherham | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Peterborough | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Shrewsbury | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Bromley | 4 - 1 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | West Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
Predictions
West Brom to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that West Brom has a 40.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.75 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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