Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco Thursday 17th September 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone A

Sept. 17, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Desenzano Calvina Lecco

Desenzano Calvina D D L L

Lecco L D L L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Home	Trento	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Away	PRO Vercelli	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 26, 23	Away	Pergolettese	3 - 1	Loss
Dec 14, 22	Away	Cremonese	7 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Away	Treviso	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Arzignano Valchiampo	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Atalanta II	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	Verona	3 - 0	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Catania	3 - 3	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Catania	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Desenzano Calvina	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
12	Lecco	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 62.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Desenzano Calvina has a 38.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.77 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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