USL Championship
Match Analysis
Detroit City
Birmingham Legion
Detroit City
L
D
D
W
D
W
Birmingham Legion
D
D
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | Detroit City | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| Birmingham Legion | Detroit City | 1 - 1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Detroit City | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 2 | March 22, 2025 |
| Birmingham Legion | Detroit City | 0 - 1 | August 17, 2024 |
| Detroit City | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2024 |
| Birmingham Legion | Detroit City | 2 - 3 | August 27, 2023 |
Detroit City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Sacramento Republic | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Hartford Athletic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Louisville City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Loudoun United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | FC Tulsa | 0 - 1 | Win |
Birmingham Legion Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Home | New Mexico United | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Charleston Battery | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Indy Eleven | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Hartford Athletic | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Colorado Springs | 3 - 2 | Loss |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Detroit City | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 37 |
| 22 | Birmingham Legion | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 19 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Detroit City to win
This prediction indicates that Detroit City has a 58.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.54 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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