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USL Championship logo

USL Championship

June 11, 2026 2 weeks, 5 days ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Detroit City El Paso Locomotive
Detroit City L D W L W L
El Paso Locomotive L L D L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
El Paso Locomotive Detroit City 0 - 0 September 8, 2024
El Paso Locomotive Detroit City 1 - 3 March 19, 2023
Detroit City El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 June 18, 2022

Detroit City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Charleston Battery 2 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Loudoun United 0 - 0 Draw
May 21, 26 Home Miami FC 2 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Hartford Athletic 2 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Louisville City 2 - 1 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2 - 1 Loss

El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Lexington 1 - 4 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Oakland Roots 2 - 1 Loss
May 7, 26 Away New Mexico United 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 30, 26 Home FC Tulsa 1 - 4 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Home San Antonio 2 - 3 Loss
Apr 11, 26 Away Hartford Athletic 0 - 4 Win

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Detroit City 11 5 2 4 12 10 +2 17
13 El Paso Locomotive 10 4 2 4 21 20 +1 14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.26% likelihood that both Detroit City and El Paso Locomotive will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Detroit City to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Detroit City has a 43.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.18 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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