Detroit City vs Loudoun United Sunday 16th August 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Detroit City Loudoun United

Detroit City L W W W D L

Loudoun United W D D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Loudoun United	Detroit City	0 - 0	May 23, 2026
Detroit City	Loudoun United	0 - 1	October 11, 2025
Loudoun United	Detroit City	3 - 2	June 14, 2025
Loudoun United	Detroit City	0 - 0	May 4, 2024
Detroit City	Loudoun United	2 - 1	March 23, 2024
Loudoun United	Detroit City	0 - 3	October 7, 2023

Detroit City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	2 - 0	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Sporting JAX	2 - 6	Win
Jun 10, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	2 - 0	Loss

Loudoun United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Indy Eleven	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Home	Sporting JAX	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 24, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	4 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Rhode Island	1 - 4	Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Detroit City	16	8	3	5	23	15	+8	27
21	Loudoun United	16	2	9	5	19	29	-10	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.16% likelihood that both Detroit City and Loudoun United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Detroit City to win

This prediction indicates that Detroit City has a 61.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.32 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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