Dijon vs PAU Friday 14th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Dijon PAU

Dijon W W W W D W

PAU L L W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dijon	PAU	0 - 1	March 18, 2023
PAU	Dijon	0 - 0	August 6, 2022
Dijon	PAU	0 - 1	February 12, 2022
PAU	Dijon	2 - 0	August 28, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Sochaux	0 - 3	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Progres Niederkorn	4 - 1	Win
Jul 15, 26	Home	UNFP	5 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Le Puy Foot	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Orleans	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Real Sociedad II	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Espanyol	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Tarbes	3 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Real Sociedad	0 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Reims	5 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Nancy	1 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	PAU	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Dijon	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.32% likelihood that both Dijon and PAU will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

This prediction indicates that Dijon has a 54.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.61 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

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