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Erovnuli Liga

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Dinamo Batumi Gagra
Dinamo Batumi L L L W W L
Gagra W D D D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Gagra Dinamo Batumi 1 - 2 May 6, 2026
Dinamo Batumi Gagra 1 - 1 March 7, 2026
Gagra Dinamo Batumi 4 - 1 October 26, 2025
Dinamo Batumi Gagra 1 - 2 August 17, 2025
Gagra Dinamo Batumi 1 - 1 May 3, 2025
Dinamo Batumi Gagra 2 - 1 March 10, 2025

Dinamo Batumi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 16, 26 Away Amed 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away Rizespor 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 23, 26 Away Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 17, 26 Away Torpedo Kutaisi 2 - 3 Win
Jun 12, 26 Home Dila 3 - 2 Win
May 29, 26 Away Saburtalo 1 - 0 Loss

Gagra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 15, 26 Home BKMA 3 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home FC Urartu 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 24, 26 Home Samgurali 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 18, 26 Away Meshakhte 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - 1 Win
May 28, 26 Away Torpedo Kutaisi 1 - 2 Win

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Dinamo Batumi 19 7 6 6 28 30 -2 27
9 Gagra 18 5 6 7 18 24 -6 21

Predictions

Dinamo Batumi or Gagra to win
This prediction indicates that Dinamo Batumi has a 40.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.75 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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