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Erovnuli Liga

Sept. 9, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Dinamo Batumi Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi W W D L L L
Saburtalo L L D D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Saburtalo Dinamo Batumi 1 - 0 May 29, 2026
Dinamo Batumi Saburtalo 0 - 3 April 18, 2026
Dinamo Batumi Saburtalo 0 - 2 November 4, 2025
Saburtalo Dinamo Batumi 0 - 0 August 23, 2025
Dinamo Batumi Saburtalo 2 - 3 May 7, 2025
Saburtalo Dinamo Batumi 1 - 1 March 15, 2025

Dinamo Batumi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Away Meshakhte 0 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Samgurali 0 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Gagra 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 16, 26 Away Amed 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away Rizespor 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 23, 26 Away Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - 1 Loss

Saburtalo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 20, 26 Away Jagiellonia 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Torpedo Kutaisi 4 - 3 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Home Larne 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 4, 26 Away Larne 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 29, 26 Away Slovan Bratislava 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 21, 26 Home Slovan Bratislava 0 - 2 Loss

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Saburtalo 20 10 4 6 30 22 +8 34
4 Dinamo Batumi 22 9 7 6 35 32 +3 34

Predictions

Saburtalo to win
This prediction indicates that Saburtalo has a 44.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.25 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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