Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Saturday 11th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Dinamo Minsk Naftan

Dinamo Minsk D W W W W D

Naftan L W L L L L

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dinamo Minsk	Naftan	1 - 1	February 18, 2026
Dinamo Minsk	Naftan	2 - 0	November 16, 2025
Naftan	Dinamo Minsk	1 - 3	October 25, 2025
Dinamo Minsk	Naftan	1 - 0	May 31, 2025
Naftan	Dinamo Minsk	1 - 2	October 13, 2024
Dinamo Minsk	Naftan	2 - 2	April 7, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	FC Vitebsk	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Neman	1 - 3	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	FC Gomel	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Arsenal	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	FC Dnepr Mogilev	3 - 1	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Bate Borisov	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	ML Vitebsk	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Home	Baranovichi	1 - 0	Win
Jun 12, 26	Away	FC Isloch Minsk R.	3 - 1	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	Torpedo Zhodino	0 - 4	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Belshina	5 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Slavia Mozyr	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Minsk	13	9	3	1	23	12	+11	30
16	Naftan	13	1	3	9	8	27	-19	6

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Dinamo Minsk has a 65.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.82 %

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