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Erovnuli Liga logo

Erovnuli Liga

June 18, 2026 1 week, 4 days ago
5 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi L W L D W W
Samgurali W W W L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Samgurali Dinamo Tbilisi 1 - 2 April 25, 2026
Dinamo Tbilisi Samgurali 1 - 1 February 2, 2026
Samgurali Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - 1 October 22, 2025
Dinamo Tbilisi Samgurali 1 - 1 August 10, 2025
Samgurali Dinamo Tbilisi 0 - 0 April 29, 2025
Dinamo Tbilisi Samgurali 2 - 1 March 6, 2025

Dinamo Tbilisi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away Gagra 2 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Meshakhte 1 - 6 Win
May 24, 26 Home Torpedo Kutaisi 0 - 1 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Dila 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Saburtalo 2 - 0 Win
May 11, 26 Away Rustavi 2 - 3 Win

Samgurali Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home Torpedo Kutaisi 2 - 1 Win
May 29, 26 Away Dila 2 - 3 Win
May 25, 26 Home Saburtalo 3 - 2 Win
May 21, 26 Away Rustavi 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Spaeri 0 - 0 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Dinamo Batumi 3 - 1 Loss

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Dinamo Tbilisi 17 6 7 4 24 17 +7 25
6 Samgurali 17 7 3 7 22 27 -5 24

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.48% likelihood that both Dinamo Tbilisi and Samgurali will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Dinamo Tbilisi to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Dinamo Tbilisi has a 38.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.75 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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