Erovnuli Liga
Match Analysis
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
L
W
L
D
W
W
Samgurali
W
W
W
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samgurali | Dinamo Tbilisi | 1 - 2 | April 25, 2026 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Samgurali | 1 - 1 | February 2, 2026 |
| Samgurali | Dinamo Tbilisi | 2 - 1 | October 22, 2025 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Samgurali | 1 - 1 | August 10, 2025 |
| Samgurali | Dinamo Tbilisi | 0 - 0 | April 29, 2025 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Samgurali | 2 - 1 | March 6, 2025 |
Dinamo Tbilisi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Gagra | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Meshakhte | 1 - 6 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Torpedo Kutaisi | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Dila | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Saburtalo | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 11, 26 | Away | Rustavi | 2 - 3 | Win |
Samgurali Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Torpedo Kutaisi | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Dila | 2 - 3 | Win |
| May 25, 26 | Home | Saburtalo | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Rustavi | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Spaeri | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Dinamo Batumi | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Erovnuli Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 | Samgurali | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 24 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.48% likelihood that both Dinamo Tbilisi and Samgurali will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Dinamo Tbilisi to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Dinamo Tbilisi has a 38.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.75 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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