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Iraqi League

June 1, 2026 4 weeks ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Diyala Duhok
Diyala L L L W D W
Duhok L D D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Duhok Diyala 1 - 0 January 17, 2026
Diyala Duhok 2 - 1 June 1, 2025
Duhok Diyala 3 - 1 December 8, 2024

Diyala Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 27, 26 Away Al-Karma 1 - 0 Loss
May 19, 26 Home Baghdad 1 - 4 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Al Shorta 0 - 2 Loss
May 11, 26 Away Zakho 1 - 2 Win
May 6, 26 Away Gharraf 0 - 0 Draw
May 1, 26 Away Al Talaba 0 - 1 Win

Duhok Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 27, 26 Home Al Kahrabaa 1 - 2 Loss
May 19, 26 Away Naft 1 - 1 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Mosul 3 - 3 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Al-Qasim 2 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Home Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 - 0 Win
May 5, 26 Home Naft Maysan 2 - 1 Win

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Diyala 37 14 10 13 43 38 +5 52
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 46 45 +1 50

Predictions

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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