Dominica vs Puerto Rico Monday 28th September 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

CONCACAF Nations League

Sept. 28, 2026 4 days, 14 hours from now VS

Dominica Puerto Rico

Dominica W D D D L L

Puerto Rico L L D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 21, 26	Home	Anguilla	1 - 0	Win
May 11, 25	Home	Barbados	0 - 0	Draw
May 8, 25	Home	Barbados	0 - 0	Draw
Nov 19, 24	Away	Antigua and Barbuda	0 - 0	Draw
Nov 16, 24	Home	Dominican Republic	1 - 6	Loss
Oct 16, 24	Away	Bermuda	3 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Home	Saudi Arabia	0 - 3	Loss
Oct 15, 25	Home	Argentina	0 - 6	Loss
Jun 1, 25	Home	Nicaragua	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 26, 25	Away	Dominican Republic	2 - 0	Loss
Mar 22, 25	Home	Dominican Republic	2 - 2	Draw
Nov 19, 24	Away	Haiti	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Puerto Rico	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Dominica	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Dominica has a 39.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.48 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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