EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Doncaster
Rochdale
Doncaster
L
D
L
L
D
D
Rochdale
L
L
D
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | Rochdale | 4 - 3 | December 29, 2022 |
| Rochdale | Doncaster | 1 - 2 | October 1, 2022 |
| Rochdale | Doncaster | 1 - 2 | May 1, 2021 |
| Doncaster | Rochdale | 1 - 0 | January 19, 2021 |
| Doncaster | Rochdale | 1 - 1 | February 8, 2020 |
| Rochdale | Doncaster | 1 - 1 | August 10, 2019 |
Doncaster Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Mansfield Town | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Stockport County | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Lincoln | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Wolves | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Harrogate Town | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Gainsborough Trinity | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Rochdale Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Newport County | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Bradford | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Tranmere | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | FC Halifax Town | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Farnham Town | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Al-Rayyan SC | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Predictions
Doncaster to win
This prediction indicates that Doncaster has a 48.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.34 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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