Dongguan United vs Nantong Zhiyun Friday 17th July 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Dongguan United Nantong Zhiyun

Dongguan United L L D D L D

Nantong Zhiyun L W D D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dongguan United	Nantong Zhiyun	1 - 1	August 3, 2025
Nantong Zhiyun	Dongguan United	2 - 0	April 13, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Yanbian Longding	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Shaanxi Union	0 - 5	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Guangxi Hengchen	3 - 3	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Langfang Glory City	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Suzhou Dongwu	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Meizhou Kejia	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Yanbian Longding	2 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Ningbo Professional	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Guangxi Hengchen	0 - 0	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Dalian Kewei	2 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Wuxi Wugou	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Nantong Zhiyun	12	6	4	2	12	9	+3	22
14	Dongguan United	12	2	4	6	14	23	-9	10

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Nantong Zhiyun has a 49.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.46 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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