Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City Tuesday 08th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

National League - South

Sept. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Dorking Wanderers Chelmsford City

Dorking Wanderers L W D L L W

Chelmsford City D D D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dorking Wanderers	Chelmsford City	1 - 1	March 10, 2026
Chelmsford City	Dorking Wanderers	1 - 1	October 4, 2025
Dorking Wanderers	Chelmsford City	2 - 2	March 8, 2025
Chelmsford City	Dorking Wanderers	0 - 4	November 9, 2024
Dorking Wanderers	Chelmsford City	2 - 0	February 19, 2022
Chelmsford City	Dorking Wanderers	2 - 2	September 4, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Home	Maidstone Utd	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 18, 26	Away	AFC Totton	0 - 3	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Maidenhead	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Dagenham & Redbridge	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Away	Dulwich Hamlet	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Lewes	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Away	Folkestone Invicta	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Truro City	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Hemel Hempstead Town	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	Canvey Island	0 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Bishop's Stortford	1 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Eastbourne Borough	1 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Dorking Wanderers	3	1	1	1	3	1	+2	4
19	Chelmsford City	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2

This prediction indicates that Dorking Wanderers has a 47.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.09 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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