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National League - South logo

National League - South

Aug. 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Dover Tonbridge Angels
Dover D D W W L W
Tonbridge Angels W W D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dover Tonbridge Angels 2 - 0 March 10, 2026
Tonbridge Angels Dover 2 - 1 October 4, 2025
Dover Tonbridge Angels 1 - 2 January 23, 2024
Tonbridge Angels Dover 1 - 0 August 15, 2023
Tonbridge Angels Dover 4 - 0 January 24, 2023
Dover Tonbridge Angels 1 - 2 August 16, 2022

Dover Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Carshalton Athletic 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Home Herne Bay 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Burgess Hill Town 1 - 0 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home Deal Town 2 - 1 Win
Jul 14, 26 Home Gillingham 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Margate 0 - 1 Win

Tonbridge Angels Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 28, 26 Home Eastbourne Borough 4 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Dulwich Hamlet 3 - 1 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home Sittingbourne 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Home Sutton Utd 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Biggleswade 1 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Torquay 1 - 2 Loss

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Tonbridge Angels None None None None None None None None
None Dover None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.84% likelihood that both Dover and Tonbridge Angels will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tonbridge Angels to win
This prediction indicates that Tonbridge Angels has a 47.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.62 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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