Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal Monday 07th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Iraqi League

Sept. 7, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Duhok Ghaz Al Shamal

Duhok D D W L L D

Ghaz Al Shamal D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Home	Al Talaba	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 16, 26	Home	Gharraf	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 20, 26	Home	Tikveš	2 - 0	Win
Jun 1, 26	Away	Diyala	1 - 0	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Al Kahrabaa	1 - 2	Loss
May 19, 26	Away	Naft	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 20, 26	Home	Al Kahrabaa	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Away	Zakho	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
14	Duhok	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
17	Ghaz Al Shamal	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.64% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Duhok has a 46.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.39 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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