Dumbarton vs ST Mirren Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Dumbarton ST Mirren

Dumbarton L L L L W D

ST Mirren W W D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dumbarton	ST Mirren	0 - 3	July 4, 2023
Dumbarton	ST Mirren	0 - 3	July 10, 2021
ST Mirren	Dumbarton	5 - 0	March 27, 2018
Dumbarton	ST Mirren	0 - 2	January 13, 2018
ST Mirren	Dumbarton	0 - 1	December 2, 2017
Dumbarton	ST Mirren	0 - 2	October 14, 2017

Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Linlithgow Rose	4 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Edinburgh City	5 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	East Kilbride	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Clyde	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Stirling Albion	2 - 1	Win
Apr 4, 26	Away	Stranraer	1 - 1	Draw

ST Mirren Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Arbroath	2 - 4	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Partick	1 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Away	Partick	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	1 - 1	Draw
May 12, 26	Away	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Loss

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	ST Mirren	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Dumbarton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.99% likelihood that both Dumbarton and ST Mirren will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

ST Mirren to win

This prediction indicates that ST Mirren has a 46.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.03 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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