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League Cup

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Dumbarton ST Mirren
Dumbarton L L L L W D
ST Mirren W W D D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dumbarton ST Mirren 0 - 3 July 4, 2023
Dumbarton ST Mirren 0 - 3 July 10, 2021
ST Mirren Dumbarton 5 - 0 March 27, 2018
Dumbarton ST Mirren 0 - 2 January 13, 2018
ST Mirren Dumbarton 0 - 1 December 2, 2017
Dumbarton ST Mirren 0 - 2 October 14, 2017

Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Linlithgow Rose 4 - 3 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Edinburgh City 5 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home East Kilbride 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Away Clyde 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 11, 26 Home Stirling Albion 2 - 1 Win
Apr 4, 26 Away Stranraer 1 - 1 Draw

ST Mirren Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Arbroath 2 - 4 Win
May 25, 26 Home Partick 1 - 0 Win
May 21, 26 Away Partick 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Dundee Utd 1 - 1 Draw
May 12, 26 Away Aberdeen 0 - 2 Win
May 9, 26 Home Kilmarnock 0 - 3 Loss

League Cup Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None ST Mirren None None None None None None None None
None Dumbarton None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.99% likelihood that both Dumbarton and ST Mirren will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
ST Mirren to win
This prediction indicates that ST Mirren has a 46.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.03 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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